JustHerMind's blog post

Monday, April 6, 2009, 6:22:26 PM

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Gotta run quick...

A short update on the Sun. Right now we have been 30 days without a sunspot. Thus, the length of the solar minimum has been extended for another month. I have addressed the significance of this as far as the likelihood of much cooler temperatures for Earth in an earlier blog of mine.

In short, the longer this minimum, the cooler the earth is going to be over the next decade or two. See my Mar23 blog.

This is EASILY the deepest solar minimum since 1913. We've already easily exceeded the number of spotless days of all the intervening minimums, and you can see from the charts below that we should expect many more.

The deepest minimum since 1913 was 568 spotless days in the 1933 solar cycle. This minimum has exceeded that with our current number of 594, and it is easy to imagine looking at the chart above that we will exceed the 1019 spotless days of the 1913 minimum.

The graph immediately below charts spotless days in orange for the current minimum up until mid-May2008... About ten tall orange bars must be added to the upper graph below in order to bring it up to the present date, as can be seen from the graph I link at the bottom of this page.

The lower chart shows the 1933 minimum spotless days. There really is no indication from these charts that we've clearly hit the midpoint of the spotless days of this cycle.

If you mash the link below, you can see the period June 2007-Mar2009... to show that we need to add many orange bars to the graph above. It also shows in blue the 1996 solar minimum.

[url]http://www.solarcycle24.com/graphs/sunspotgraph.gif[/url]

I'll work on updating this chart in the next few days with the current data, and see if I can locate the spotless data for years prior to 1913. I'll put a link in the comments below when I do so.

Comments

Others Have Said:

kricket187 on 6-Apr-09 23:59:22

i did read ya blog.....just not sure i understand it......possible i've had too much beer....... <3 <3

JustHerMind on 7-Apr-09 0:37:34

kricket: the long and short of it is that current indications are that Earth is VERY likely to get COLD during the next decade or so.

The CO2 watchers almost completely discount the effect of the sun on weather/ climate. Ask them, not me, why. They don't believe the historical data I put in my Mar23 blog despite the clear relationships.

People such as me believe that there are reasons for those relationships with solar activity that are accurate, but the root reasons are not understood.

I believe it comes down to certain people believing that they know everything important that there is to know about science, in this case the science of climate. Others like me are humble enough to say we are willing to say we don't know everything, and actually study data, and follow where the data leads, instead of where our ego leads.

Those who are arrogant put their beliefs in computer models and use them to make predictions about what is going to happen a hundred years from now. In fact, the models that they ran five years ago are already known to be extremely inaccurate. Their models all predicted Earth's temp to be higher now, but it is fact significantly lower. They can't seem to realize that their models must not be accurate, and in fact are useless.

I've worked with scientific modeling, and this is not an unusual result when doing modeling, even in much less complex systems than Earth's climate, and when the science is much better understood.

Nevertheless, the politicians and climate activists are bound and determined that mankind spend DOZENS of TRILLIONS of dollars to "stop Carbon Dioxide" emissions. Rest assured that every estimate of the cost is much lower than the actual cost will be, as Europe has discovered in their failure to implement the Kyoto treaty. These politicians seem only to be trying to gain more power and control over our life.

Thanks for your "<3 <3" comment... kricket. All I'm saying is the following:

This is not consistent with people causing "global warming" or "climate change"- or to steal a slogan,

"It's the Sun, Stupid!"